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Inside The Economy with SH&J: PMI Numbers & Household Debt

By | Economic Discussion, Economy, SH&J Blog | No Comments

On this week’s Inside the Economy with SH&J, we discuss the recent Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) numbers. The manufacturing numbers have been in a downward trend for about a year now. How close are we to seeing these numbers signal a contraction in manufacturing? Has the change in interest rates had any effect on the U.S. dollar? The total household debt in the U.S. is about 100% of net disposable income. How does this compare to other countries around the world? Tune in to find out!

Why You Should Invest in a Financial Advisor

By | Investing, SH&J Blog | No Comments

Are you starting to feel under the weather? Search your symptoms on WebMD. Need to talk through an emotional issue with a licensed professional? You can now text an online therapist. Have a few extra dollars and need help investing in the markets? Hire a “robo advisor”. Thanks to the evolution of technology, advice is more accessible than ever. With many inexpensive options for investing, why should you invest in a traditional financial advisor?

 

The role of a financial advisor has progressed tremendously over the last 50 years. Advisors used to specialize in one aspect of your financial life. Your financial advisor could’ve been your stockbroker who assisted in managing your investment portfolio, or they could’ve been an insurance agent who you bought life insurance from. Today, you can hire a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ who will provide you comprehensive financial planning.

While investment management is part of your overall financial picture, it is only one component. Advisors now provide additional value by acting as an ally to clients during major life decisions that may create financial stress. Barron’s reports that the industry average cost for financial advice is 1% of assets under management. By working to control behavioral tendencies of the average investor and coaching clients through pivotal times, advisors as a whole can be worth the fees. According to a study done by Vanguard, advisors who follow best practices in wealth management can add an additional 3% in net returns over the long term, with half of that coming from behavioral coaching.

Investing is an emotional activity. Whether derived from fear, greed, or past experiences with finances, most investors have an emotional tie to money. Financial experts can work with you to keep these emotions at bay, while staying focused on your goals and identifying hidden risks along the way. A good financial advisor will provide a roadmap for your financial goals and keep you motivated to achieve them.

Are you or a loved one interested in working with a financial advisor? Contact Sharkey, Howes & Javer today to speak with a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™. We’ll work with you to align life goals with financial realities through financial planning and investment management.

Inside The Economy with SH&J: Dollar Strength & Corporate Earnings

By | Economic Discussion, Economy, SH&J Blog | No Comments

On this week’s Inside the Economy with SH&J, we discuss the strength of the U.S. dollar and its correlation with changing interest rates. Since the Fed started raising rates, the U.S. dollar has strengthened. Will that trend continue now that the Fed is reversing course? Even with the recent volatility, the U.S. Stock market is still near all-time highs. Have corporate earnings kept up with the increase in stock prices this year? Tune in to find out!

Inside The Economy with SH&J: Housing Prices & Corporate Earnings

By | Economic Discussion, Economy, SH&J Blog | No Comments

On this week’s Inside the Economy with SH&J, we discuss the effects of lower mortgage rates on the housing market. Which region in the U.S. is seeing home prices increase at the fastest rates? The answer may surprise you. Corporate earnings have seen robust growth since 2017. What are most corporations choosing to do with the excess profits? Tune in to find out these answers, and more!

Sharkey, Howes & Javer Investment Process

By | Investing, SH&J Blog | No Comments

Investment Management is a very important part of our business here at Sharkey, Howes & Javer. Designing a custom investment portfolio is integral in helping our clients achieve their financial goals. Below is an outline of the investment process at SH&J, and an overview on how we choose investment portfolios for clients.

Pyramid

We first take a macro level view of the global economy and work to identify trends and how they could potentially impact clients’ portfolios. Macro economic research, as well as insights from various mutual fund managers and investment professionals, is used to determine what asset classes may add value to portfolios during various economic conditions.

The biggest driver of investment returns is the stock and bond exposure of a portfolio. The more stocks in a portfolio, the greater the long-term rate of return is expected to be. Portfolios can range from 100% stocks, which are the most aggressive, to portfolios that may have over 60% in bonds, which are more conservative by nature. We then discuss how much international stock and bond exposure is appropriate, and also evaluate if there are opportunities in alternative asset classes, such as real estate or commodities, for additional diversification.

Once the asset class allocation is outlined, the individual mutual fund or exchange traded fund (ETF) position for each asset class needs to be chosen. Third party investment research tools aid in scanning the entire fund universe. Many factors are considered in selecting each holding. Such as how long a fund manager has been managing a particular fund, what the fund’s underlying expense ratio is, how much risk the fund is taking compared to the benchmark, and if the fund has had consistent 3, 5, and 10-year performance numbers.

The economic conditions around the globe are fluctuating every single day. And, what’s also changing is the number of mutual fund and ETF options available for people to invest in. It is important to stay up-to-date on your investment portfolio and make adjustments as needed. If you would like to discuss your current investment portfolio or discuss our strategies, please contact Sharkey, Howes & Javer today to speak with a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™.

The economic conditions around the globe are fluctuating every single day. And, what’s also changing is the number of mutual fund and ETF options available for people to invest in. It is important to stay up-to-date on your investment portfolio and make adjustments as needed. If you would like to discuss your current investment portfolio or discuss our strategies, please contact Sharkey, Howes & Javer today to speak with a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™.

Inside The Economy with SH&J: Lower Interest Rates & Negative Yields

By | Economic Discussion, Economy, SH&J Blog | No Comments

On this week’s Inside the Economy with SH&J, we discuss the Federal Reserve meeting happening this week. It looks like the market is already assuming the Fed will cut interest rates, but how much lower could interest rates go in the future and what affect would that have on the economy? Speaking of low interest rates, there is now around $14 trillion in negative yielding debt around the world. What countries currently have the lowest interest rates and why are their citizens buying negative yielding bonds? Tune in to find out!

Meet Claire O’Neill

By | SH&J Blog, SH&J Team | No Comments
Claire

Name: Claire O’Neil

Title: CERTIFED FINANCIAL PLANNER™

SH&J team member since: September, 2018

How did you decide to become a financial planner?

I started out in the business working alongside financial advisors and through this experience fell in love with the idea of working more closely with clients. I decided to get a CFP® license so I could be a direct help in advising for their financial success.

What’s your favorite part of your job?

My favorite part of the job is working directly with clients and meeting new people along the way. Being able to take the stress off of people’s plate for major financial decisions and helping them navigate different scenarios is the best part of my day.

You’re originally from Kansas City, Missouri, so what brought you to Colorado and SH&J?

I had lived in Missouri my whole life, but have always had a soft spot in my heart for Colorado and the outdoor lifestyle, as Breckenridge was a family vacation destination growing up. After college, I was looking for a change of pace, so I packed up my stuff and moved to Colorado.

What do you like to do in your free time?

I spend a lot of time in the mountains hiking or skiing but if I’m not in the mountains you can find me hanging with my Spanish Water Dog, Hugo, in the parks or playing volleyball. Outside of outdoor activities, I love to explore restaurants and try new foods.

Do you have a favorite place you like to ski or hike?

Winter Park is my new favorite but Breckenridge is hands down my favorite mountain town. This is where my family vacation spot was growing up and is a longtime favorite city of mine.

What’s something about you that would surprise us?

I come from a really large Irish family (60+ counting aunts, uncles and cousins) so I have an unknown passion for Irish culture and music. My family enjoys listening to Irish bands in the Kansas City area and my cousin actually runs one of the biggest Irish events in the city.

What is the most interesting place you’ve ever been to?

Nice, France. It’s a small city by the ocean and I loved spending 5 days there before visiting my sister who was living in Barcelona. The food and atmosphere were amazing. You can walk everywhere and it had a really laidback vibe.

If money was not a factor, what would you do?

I would travel around the world and learn to speak a new language. I would also consider splitting my Colorado time between Denver and the Mountains.

Inside The Economy with SH&J: Unemployment & Fed Decision

By | Economic Discussion, Economy, SH&J Blog | No Comments

On this week’s Inside the Economy with SH&J, we discuss unemployment numbers. Job openings in May exceeded the number of people unemployed for the 15th straight month. Could there be a new natural rate of unemployment in a robust economy? Short term interest rates have already priced in an interest rate cut for July. What are the possible implications of the Fed’s decision at the upcoming meeting? Media bias aside, what is really going on with state and federal debt? Tune in to find out!

Why are my Medicare Premiums Increasing?

By | Medicare, SH&J Blog | No Comments

For many people, Social Security and Medicare seem to go hand-in-hand. Both benefits are typically received during your 60s, and Medicare premiums are often deducted from monthly Social Security checks. So when the announcement came out at the end of 2018 that Medicare premiums were increasing for 2019, one day after the “Cost of Living Adjustment” of 2.8% was announced for Social Security, it’s hard to blame Americans for thinking they are one in the same. However, in reality, Medicare premium decisions are made by the Medicare system itself, not the Social Security Administration.

For 2019, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) announced a slight increase in Medicare Part B premiums from $134 to $135.50 per month, which is a little over a 1% increase. CMS bases their decision to adjust premiums on the inflation that they are seeing in the health care system. Although a majority of Americans on Medicare pay $135.50 per month for coverage, there are some people that fall subject to exceptions. Approximately 2 million individuals on Medicare pay less than the designated amount due to the “hold harmless” provision, which prevents your Medicare premium from increasing in a way that lessens your monthly Social Security benefit. Although this won’t save you much, the average person who qualifies for “hold harmless” pays about $130 per month for Medicare. On the flip side, 5% of Medicare recipients pay an income related surcharge. If you as an individual made over $85,000 in one year ($170,000 for married couples), you are subject to this surcharge which could cause you to pay anywhere from $189.60 per month, up to $460.50 per month, depending on your annual income. Something to note, the Medicare income surcharges are based off the last available tax return, so your 2019 calculation is based off income reported in 2017.

The small premium hike for 2019, along with future increases, may be here to stay. According to the Wall Street journal, monthly premiums could be expected to increase to $144.30 in 2020, a difference of $8.80 per month. This prediction is due to the rise of health care prices in an environment with stagnant inflation.

Do you or a family member have questions on changes to your Medicare premiums?

Contact Sharkey, Howes & Javer today to speak with a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™.

Inside The Economy with SH&J: Manufacturing Slowing & Emerging Trade Partners

By | Economic Discussion, Economy, SH&J Blog | No Comments

On this week’s Inside the Economy with SH&J, we discuss a slight slowdown in the manufacturing sector of the economy. Inventories and job cuts are increasing, but how important is manufacturing to the health of the overall US economy compared to service jobs? Could this play a role in whether or not the Fed decides to adjust rates? With the talk of tariffs affecting US trade with China, what other country in Asia has seen exports to the US increase? Tune in to find out!